This is a demo report with fictional data. Analyze your own bets →
You ran 94 parlays this season. You won 11. The house thanks you.
to the books
Only 28.4% of your bets were +EV at placement. That means 71.6% of the time, you were placing bets where the math was already against you before the game started.
Your average CLV of -18 bps means the closing line consistently moved against you. The market thought your bets were wrong, and the market was right.
Parlay Addiction
94 parlays at -42.3% ROI. You won 11 and lost 83. Compounding vig destroyed you.
-$680.00/yr
Late Line Grabbing
Average CLV of -18 bps. You consistently bet after sharp money moved the line.
-$445.00/yr
No Line Shopping
Betting only on DraftKings cost you an average of 8 cents per bet vs best available.
-$198.00/yr
94 parlays
Cut parlays to max 10% of your bets. Replace with straight bets on NFL spreads where you show +CLV.
+6-8% ROI improvement
Open accounts on 3+ books (Pinnacle, Circa, FanDuel) and always take the best available line.
+2-3% ROI from line shopping alone
Place bets earlier in the week. Your Monday-placed NFL bets show +8 CLV vs game-day bets at -25 CLV.
+1-2% ROI from better timing
If you never placed a parlay
+$680.00
If you paid zero vig (Pinnacle pricing)
+$892.00
If you skipped your worst -EV bets
+$523.00
If you bet flat $25 units
+$277.00
Upload your bet history and get your own brutally honest analysis.
Analyze My BetsFumbled is a data analysis tool for informational purposes only. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.